Thursday, 20 November 2014 00:00

Seven Euro-Area Members In Deflation

The globally economy is slowing down and certain regions are in deeper trouble than others. The chart below gives Euro-Area harmonized CPI as of September 2014. Seven Euro-Area members are already in deflation as of September 2014. We believe that the Euro-Area is likely to slip into recession in 2015. In line with this opinion, we are underweight the Euro-Area…
Thursday, 20 November 2014 00:00

Geo-Political Implications On Oil Producers

As geo-political tensions are on a rise globally, we, at Disruptive Investor, believe that oil can witness volatility in the foreseeable future. We believe that the recent decline in oil prices is a good example of the volatility that is likely over the next few quarters. To explain our point, we are using the chart below that gives the biggest…
On January 15, 2014, we had given a "Buy" call on Treehouse Education & Accessories. Investors can read that initiating coverage on Treehouse Education HERE. Eight months down the line, Treehouse Education has provided returns of 100% and the stock has comfortably beaten the market returns during this period.     We, at Disruptive Investor, remain bullish on the long-term…
Sunday, 29 June 2014 00:00

Are Indian Markets Overvalued?

The positive developments related to the Indian general election has sparked a meaningful rally in the Indian equities. We analyze if the markets are expensive at these levels and we advise on what investors should do at this point of time. A Historical NIFTY PE Analysis An analysis of the NIFTY PE in the last 14 years (2000-2014 YTD) provides…
Introduction To Our Recommendation We initiate coverage on Prozone Capital Shopping Centre and believe that this stock is a long-term multibagger. Disruptive Investor would recommend an investment horizon of five year and we will access the stock on a quarterly basis to point out any changes in our recommendation or any red flags. We believe that the company is a…
Overview We had recommended Treehouse Education and Accessories on January 15, 2014. That time, the stock was trading at INR240 and we had recommended the stock as buy with a target price of INR370. Treehouse Education touched a high of INR380 before correcting to current levels of INR316. We remain bullish on Treehouse Education and we are also bullish on…
The civilian unemployment rate in the United States has dipped to 6.3% as of May 2014 and that seems to be good news. We, at Disruptive Investor, are more concerned about the continued rise in number of people not in labor force. The chart below gives the number of people not in labor force as of May 2014. As many…
While the debate rages on the sustainability of the Brazil, Russia, China and India (BRIC) story, the Sovereign Wealth Funds allocation might provide an insight on the long-term outlook for BRIC. As the chart below shows, Sovereign Wealth Funds continued to flow into BRIC countries in 2013.     In the recent past, Turkey has also been one of the…
Is the IPO volume in the United States another indicator of stock market peak? The chart gives the IPO volume on a yearly basis from 2004 to end of 2013.     What is worth noticing here is the fact that the issuance of new paper peaked out in 2007 at $48.4 billion. In 2013, the IPO issuance volume surpassed…
From a crisis low of 666 on the S&P, the market has surged by 182% over the last five years to current levels of 1,878. What has also surged to a record high in January 2014 is the margin debt, which hit an all time high of $451 billion on the New York Stock Exchange.     A high margin…